I wouldn't call 12.5% of dying dirt low... but suit yourself. If I wasn't lazy, I would find the expected value. I suspect it is in the hundred millions range.
Remove the $10 billion and replace it with "give us a list of your 100 worst enemies and we'll spend up to $10B to hunt them to death.. but you get nothing." SPIIIINNNNNNN!
*rolls, wheel falls off and rolls away*
"Whoops. I guess you win nothing"